Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
79 Manhattan 100.0%   13   25 - 7 15 - 5 25 - 7 15 - 5 +6.6      +0.9 148 +5.7 45 75.1 41 +7.7 70 +5.0 2
80 Iona 0.0%   22 - 10 17 - 3 22 - 10 17 - 3 +6.5      +9.2 13 -2.7 244 75.3 39 +5.8 86 +8.8 1
120 Canisius 0.0%   21 - 11 14 - 6 21 - 11 14 - 6 +3.3      +4.9 58 -1.6 219 68.3 163 +4.0 114 +3.8 4
155 Quinnipiac 0.0%   20 - 11 14 - 6 20 - 11 14 - 6 +0.9      +3.8 83 -2.9 248 75.4 38 +3.0 127 +4.2 3
180 Siena 0.0%   15 - 17 11 - 9 15 - 17 11 - 9 -1.0      -2.7 247 +1.7 121 68.7 151 -0.7 178 +0.2 5
209 Marist 0.0%   12 - 19 9 - 11 12 - 19 9 - 11 -2.6      -2.2 232 -0.4 180 67.4 185 -3.5 224 -2.3 8
215 Rider 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 11 14 - 17 9 - 11 -3.0      +1.0 145 -4.0 277 69.1 144 -2.2 201 -2.2 7
226 St. Peter's 0.0%   14 - 17 9 - 11 14 - 17 9 - 11 -3.8      -4.9 288 +1.1 143 60.3 333 -2.8 211 -2.1 6
264 Monmouth 0.0%   11 - 21 5 - 15 11 - 21 5 - 15 -5.7      -5.9 309 +0.2 164 71.8 84 -6.2 268 -7.5 9
271 Fairfield 0.0%   7 - 25 4 - 16 7 - 25 4 - 16 -5.9      -5.9 308 0.0 170 67.5 182 -8.4 290 -9.2 10
277 Niagara 0.0%   7 - 26 3 - 17 7 - 26 3 - 17 -6.4      -2.7 245 -3.7 268 81.9 7 -7.8 284 -11.1 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Manhattan 2.0 100.0
Iona 1.0 100.0
Canisius 3.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 3.0 100.0
Siena 5.0 100.0
Marist 6.0 100.0
Rider 6.0 100.0
St. Peter's 6.0 100.0
Monmouth 9.0 100.0
Fairfield 10.0 100.0
Niagara 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Manhattan 15 - 5 100.0
Iona 17 - 3 100.0
Canisius 14 - 6 100.0
Quinnipiac 14 - 6 100.0
Siena 11 - 9 100.0
Marist 9 - 11 100.0
Rider 9 - 11 100.0
St. Peter's 9 - 11 100.0
Monmouth 5 - 15 100.0
Fairfield 4 - 16 100.0
Niagara 3 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Manhattan
Iona 100.0% 100.0
Canisius
Quinnipiac
Siena
Marist
Rider
St. Peter's
Monmouth
Fairfield
Niagara


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Manhattan 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   16.6 70.6 12.8 0.0
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Manhattan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 18.9% 5.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 18.9% 0.2 81.1 18.9
Sweet Sixteen 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0